Tony Finau +2200 is the closest player to Scheffler regarding hemorrhaging strokes with his putter. The Par 3s are all over 180 yards and play fairly difficult. Strokes gained around the green will be a key stat this week, especially with five Par 5s and 5 Par 3s on the scorecard. He finished fourth last week at the Nedbank Golf Challenge gaining more than 11.5 strokes with his short game. Over his last three tournaments, he has gained more than 3.1 strokes on the greens each week. His putting was atrocious, and his driver and approach game wasn’t close to his usual self. Justin Thomas +1600 struggled through the 2022-2023 PGA Tour season. I would not go heavy on anyone this week, but Scheffler would get most of my attention if I only looked at outrights. He’s as stubborn as a mule when competing, and he’s the best ball striker on the planet. Scottie Scheffler +450 is the pick if you take one outright winner this week. I’m not worried about Scheffler showing up each and every day, but I do have some questions about others. Watch this clip of Scheffler playing pickleball to see how competitive that guy is. The small purse and vacation-like atmosphere can lead some players to treat it like a preseason game while others can’t help themselves from competing for wins. The Hero World Challenge is a fun watch with so many great golfers teeing it up, but it isn’t the best tournament to bet on or invest heavily in DFS lineups.

Tiger won’t be the only player returning from a long layoff this week, as Will Zalatoris will tee it up for the first time since his back surgery. 1 Scottie Scheffler, who finished second the last two years and will be eager to finally beat Hovland in the Bahamas as long as his putter cooperates. Tiger will be joined by two-time defending Hero World Challenge champion Viktor Hovland and world No. Tiger hopes to play 1 tournament per month in 2024

Nedbank golf challenge odds